Polling shows Biden is winning — and that Republicans should be nervous (The Washington Postlink): News coverage of the Biden administration often suggests that the country is evenly divided. The formulations in headlines and chyrons — “Biden meets Republican resistance” or “Republicans reject . . .” — pits President Biden against utterly recalcitrant members of Congress. But when you look at what actual voters think, it is the GOP (which has shrunk to 25 percent of the electorate, according to Gallup polling) who dug itself into a hole.
The latest Morning Consult-Politico poll, for example, has the president at 60 percent approval with only 37 percent disapproval. He’s off the charts among Democrats (92 percent) and wins independents 52 percent to 40 percent. Sixty-three percent approve of his handling of the covid-19 pandemic (compared to 24 percent approval for congressional Republicans). Despite the actions of many GOP governors, nearly 70 percent of voters think “Americans should continue to social distance for as long as is needed to curb the spread of coronavirus even if it means continued damage to the economy.”Republicans’ quibbling about the definition of infrastructure has largely fallen on deaf ears. Voters generally have more expansive definitions for infrastructure, which in their minds includes schools (70 percent say it’s infrastructure), child care (53 percent), manufacturing (69 percent), water pipes (78 percent), Internet (68 percent), housing (69 percent). Biden’s overall plan gets 57 percent approval, with only 24 percent disapproval. Mention an increase in corporate taxes, and support climbs to 62 percent.On Guns, a number of restrictions draw large majorities, such as background checks (83 percent), banning assault-style guns (64 percent), banning high-capacity magazines (65 percent), mandatory waiting times (73 percent), raising the age to buy a gun to 21 years (77 percent) and barring sales to people reported as having a mental illness (83 percent).And in good news for congressional Democrats, the poll reports: “Democratic voters, at 81 percent, are 9 percentage points more likely than Republican voters, at 72 percent, to say they’re at least ‘somewhat’ enthusiastic about voting in the 2022 midterms.” Republicans will surely reply (not unfairly) that the 2022 midterms are more than a year and a half away.
To be sure, there is variation among polls, and keep in mind that Democrats did worse in 2020 than their poll numbers would have suggested. (It’s unclear whether this is a phenomenon unique to elections in which the disgraced now-former president is on the ballot.) Nevertheless, Republicans and the media have continually underestimated Biden and his team. They should take a look at the scoreboard.
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