Mod: Try and figure this out. As far as I can see the new CNN poll that is getting a lot of attention this morning tells us two very different tales. One tale claims that the Biden/Trump race has tightened considerably, as races sometimes do just before the conventions. But the other shows Trump remaining deep in the job approval hole with 54% disapproving of the what he's been doing, and only 42% approving. So which is it?CNN Poll (
link): Overall, 54% disapprove of the way
Trump is handling his job as president and 42% approve. That's an uptick since June, and about on par with
Trump's ratings from earlier this year. It still lands the
President near the bottom of a list of historical approval ratings for presidents seeking reelection just ahead of their nominating conventions.
Trump lands ahead of
Jimmy Carter (33% approval) and
George H.W. Bush (35%), but below
Barack Obama (48%),
George W. Bush (49%),
Bill Clinton (53%) and
Ronald Reagan (54%).
Trump's favorability rating remains underwater nationally (43% see him favorably, 55% unfavorably), a bit worse than
Biden's 46% favorable to 47% unfavorable even split.
Biden Leads Trump, 50% to 41%, in Poll Ahead of Party Conventions(
Wall Street Journallink):
President Trump and former
Vice President Joe Biden start their nominating conventions this month with
Mr. Trump struggling to reach a level of job approval that would make re-election more likely and his challenger drawing soft support that could present turnout challenges, the latest
Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll shows.
Less than three months before November’s election, 50% of registered voters nationally say they would vote for
Mr. Biden if the election were held now, while 41% back
Mr. Trump. That is essentially unchanged from Mr. Biden’s 11-point lead a month ago and is similar to his advantage much of this year.
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