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| Probably not from California. |
IT'S A WRAP: Secretary of State Alex Padilla released the certified final results of the November 8 general election.
Turnout of registered voters: 75.27%
Highest turnout of registered: Marin: 88.96%
Lowest turnout of registered: Fresno: 66.73%
Turnout of eligible voters: 58.74%
Highest turnout of eligible: Marin: 78.91%
Lowest turnout of eligible: Kings: 43.51%
Historical turnout of registereds comparison:
1976: 81.53%
1980: 77.24%
1984: 74.93%
1988: 72.81%
1992: 75.32%
1996: 65.53%
2000: 70.94%
2004: 76.04%
2008: 79.42%
2012: 72.36%
2016: 75.27%
Voting method:
Polling: 42.21%
Vote-by-mail: 57.79%
Presidential:
Clinton (D): 8,753,788 (61.7%); Trump (R): 4,483,810 (31.6%); Johnson (L): 478,500 (3.4%); Stein (G): 278,657 (2.0%)
Bernie Sanders write-in votes: 79,341 (0.8%)
U.S. Senate: Harris (D): 7,542,753 (61.6%); Sanchez (D): 4,401,417 (38.4%)
Turnout among registered voters was about average of presidential general elections since 1976.
The vote margin Clinton garnered over Trump is 4,269,978. The national popular vote margin is ~2.9 million, meaning California accounts for all of Clinton's popular vote margin, plus an additional 1.3+ million. Aside from the District of Columbia, California led the nation in the percentage of votes cast for Clinton. The top 5 states for Clinton were California (61.7%), Hawaii (60.98%), Maryland (60.33%), Massachusetts (60.01%), and Vermont (55.72%). The lowest for Clinton was Wyoming at 21.63%. The coal message really helped Trump in West Virginia, where he garnered 68.83% of the vote in the once reliably Democratic state.
The national average of the popular vote for Clinton is (currently) 48.08%.
There were 14,181,595 total votes cast for President. There were 14,610,509 total voters, meaning the undervote was 428,914 (2.9%). Thus, despite talk of people holding their noses out of disdain for the two leading candidates does not appear evident.
The undervote in the U.S. Senate race was 462,575 (3.2%), which means that the vast majority of Republicans and Decline-To-State voters cast votes in the race between the two Democrats in state's first test of voter behavior in the top-two system among two candidates of the same party.
While 2018 will see lower turnout and a modestly more conservative electorate, the margin that Hillary Clinton garnered and voter behavior in the intra-party race, it is extremely unlikely the California Republican Party and aligned interests, particularly in the business community, will prioritize the statewide races in our next general election. For good or for bad, this is an extremely Democratic state now--the most Democratic in performance in this presidential election. That doesn't mean it is the most Democratic state, but in performance in Clinton v. Trump, it was.
That means that the strong majority of Decline-To-State voters cast ballots for the Democratic presidential candidate. Also, as mentioned in the graf above, an overwhelming of majority DTS and Republican voters were willing to cast ballots for a Democratic candidate in the Senate race. That's not good news for Republicans.
A big question for 2018 will be, assuming San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer is the on Republican in the top-two primary and the main Democratic candidates are Treasurer John Chiang, Lieutenant Governor Gavin Newsom, and former Los Angeles mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, do GOP and conservative Decline-To-State voters vote for Faulconer (who will be very under-resourced) or vote for the Democratic candidate that most appeals to their values?
Mod: It would appear that the GOP in California has become a de facto third party. The first two parties now being the Liberal and Moderate wings of the Democratic Party. It may be a long time before another Republican makes a statewide November ballot here. Considering the bizarre and racially charged nonsense being pushed by the GOP nationally, that really shouldn't be too much of a surprise.
Majority Want Monday’s Electoral College Vote Postponed In Wake Of Russia Scandal: New Poll (Huffington Postlink): A majority of American voters favor delaying the December 19th Electoral College vote until electors can be fully briefed on Russian interference in the election, according to a new poll conducted by YouGov.
The survey, sponsored by the progressive advocacy group Avaaz, found 52 percent of people supportive of stalling the vote, set to take place Monday.
A surprisingly high number of people ― 46 percent ― were also willing to support so-called “faithless electors,” the name given members of the Electoral College who spurn the vote of their home state and vote for a different candidate instead.
Trump opponents have been pressuring electors to break with their state’s voters, and a law firm has even offered pro bono, confidential legal advice to any elector curious about his or her options. Avaaz has collected thousands of signatures on a petition calling for the vote to be delayed.
Donald Trump won a fairly wide Electoral College victory on Election Day, but Hillary Clinton is on pace to beat him in the popular vote by some three million. In a sign of how divided the country is, however, more than 1 in 4 Republicans believe that Trump in fact bested Clinton in the popular vote. That belief may stem from a false claim Trump himself made on Twitter, when he said that he would have won the popular vote had millions of people not voted illegally. That came after a separate claim from Trump, that he could have won the popular vote if he wanted to, by campaigning in highly populated states like California and New York.
Mod: This probably won't happen, but wouldn't it be interesting if it did? Kind of like a death row inmate would find a last minute reprieve from the governor to be interesting.
Last Night's Saturday Night Live Trump Skit (Feat. "Pootie")
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| Video link here. |
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